← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College0.85+3.07vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.40+0.12vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island1.18+0.59vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-0.55vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont2.13-2.46vs Predicted
-
6Middlebury College-0.17-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.07Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
-
2.12Tufts University2.400.4%1st Place
-
3.59University of Rhode Island1.180.1%1st Place
-
3.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.1%1st Place
-
2.54University of Vermont2.130.3%1st Place
-
5.24Middlebury College-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ainsley Parramore | 7.6% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 19.7% | 29.3% | 18.2% |
| Talia Toland | 40.1% | 27.7% | 18.9% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 0.6% |
| Meghan Haviland | 11.6% | 13.7% | 19.4% | 23.9% | 22.3% | 9.1% |
| Meredith Julian | 11.7% | 16.2% | 20.4% | 25.7% | 19.1% | 6.9% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 26.8% | 28.3% | 20.7% | 14.5% | 7.7% | 2.0% |
| Abigail Wright | 2.2% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 16.7% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.