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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.40+1.15vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.18+1.61vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+0.47vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.13-1.60vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College0.85-0.86vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.17-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Tufts University2.400.4%1st Place
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3.61University of Rhode Island1.180.1%1st Place
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3.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.1%1st Place
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2.4University of Vermont2.130.3%1st Place
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4.14Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
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5.22Middlebury College-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 38.7% | 27.8% | 18.3% | 10.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Meghan Haviland | 10.5% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 22.2% | 22.9% | 10.1% |
| Meredith Julian | 12.7% | 15.0% | 19.9% | 23.9% | 22.3% | 6.2% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 28.9% | 27.7% | 24.1% | 13.9% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 7.1% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 19.3% | 29.0% | 20.4% |
| Abigail Wright | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 9.8% | 18.3% | 61.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.