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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.40+1.16vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+1.44vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.13-0.60vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.85+0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.18-1.26vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.17-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16Tufts University2.400.4%1st Place
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3.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.1%1st Place
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2.4University of Vermont2.130.3%1st Place
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4.03Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
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3.74University of Rhode Island1.180.1%1st Place
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5.22Middlebury College-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 37.5% | 30.3% | 17.1% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Meredith Julian | 12.6% | 16.5% | 20.1% | 23.0% | 20.3% | 7.5% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 29.7% | 28.6% | 21.3% | 14.1% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 8.8% | 8.0% | 16.6% | 20.0% | 30.9% | 15.7% |
| Meghan Haviland | 9.2% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 23.2% | 22.6% | 12.5% |
| Abigail Wright | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 17.5% | 61.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.