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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.51+1.68vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+3.24vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+1.13vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.39+0.71vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.22+0.03vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.29-0.98vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.08vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.61-1.56vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.90-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Georgetown University4.510.3%1st Place
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5.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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4.13Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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4.71Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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5.03College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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5.02University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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5.92U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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6.44University of Wisconsin2.610.1%1st Place
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5.82Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 31.2% | 25.0% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.6% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 9.9% |
| Marlena Fauer | 15.0% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 2.3% |
| Morgan Wilson | 10.3% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 6.0% |
| Corey Hall | 9.1% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 11.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 16.5% |
| Christine Porter | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 28.4% |
| Emilie Mademann | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.