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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.76+5.15vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+4.65vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.59+3.69vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.95+1.94vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+5.96vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.55+0.98vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.26+1.65vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering0.22+4.24vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.43-1.30vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.08-1.08vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-0.45+3.54vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-0.31vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.10-0.83vs Predicted
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14Boston College1.97-8.19vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College0.05-4.84vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.56-5.98vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont-0.02-3.82vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University-0.79-2.15vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut-0.80-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15Brown University1.7611.2%1st Place
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6.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.629.8%1st Place
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6.69Tufts University1.598.7%1st Place
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5.94Boston College1.9511.6%1st Place
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10.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.6%1st Place
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6.98Roger Williams University1.558.8%1st Place
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8.65Northeastern University1.265.4%1st Place
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12.24Olin College of Engineering0.222.5%1st Place
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7.7Roger Williams University1.436.3%1st Place
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8.92Dartmouth College1.085.5%1st Place
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14.54Bentley University-0.451.4%1st Place
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11.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.332.2%1st Place
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12.17University of New Hampshire0.102.1%1st Place
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5.81Boston College1.9711.1%1st Place
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10.16Bowdoin College0.053.8%1st Place
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10.02Boston University0.563.7%1st Place
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13.18University of Vermont-0.021.8%1st Place
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15.85Salve Regina University-0.790.8%1st Place
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15.71University of Connecticut-0.800.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Brock | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gus Macaulay | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Connor McHugh | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| James Jagielski | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 3.2% |
| Jed Lory | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ben Sheppard | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| John O'Connell | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 16.8% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Sam Harris | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Peter Joslin | 11.1% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| William Denker | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 7.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 19.6% | 32.0% |
| Ryan Treat | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 18.9% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.