Race 1A

priddy-freshman

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Parker Colantuono 33.6% 27.0% 20.7% 10.2% 4.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ellen Fuller 5.7% 7.0% 12.5% 13.4% 13.2% 12.9% 11.2% 9.7% 6.6% 4.7% 2.7% 0.4%
Timothy Burns 5.3% 5.2% 7.7% 9.0% 10.7% 11.7% 12.8% 12.3% 10.2% 7.7% 5.5% 1.9%
Colin Snow 3.9% 7.9% 7.3% 13.0% 11.8% 14.0% 11.2% 9.1% 9.7% 7.5% 3.5% 1.1%
Ryutaro Sochi 29.3% 26.3% 17.2% 13.0% 7.3% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephen Poirier 7.8% 10.0% 11.9% 12.2% 15.0% 13.0% 11.1% 8.4% 4.9% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3%
Lucie Rochat 3.3% 2.9% 3.8% 5.9% 7.4% 6.7% 10.3% 10.7% 11.6% 14.3% 13.6% 9.5%
Aleix Monmany Balaguer 3.4% 4.5% 6.7% 7.4% 8.0% 11.5% 11.6% 12.1% 11.3% 11.3% 8.1% 4.1%
Lauren Miller 2.6% 2.1% 3.8% 6.4% 7.3% 9.1% 10.1% 10.7% 14.3% 13.4% 12.9% 7.3%
Nicholas Leshaw 3.0% 4.1% 5.3% 6.0% 8.7% 8.2% 10.2% 12.7% 14.0% 11.1% 11.1% 5.6%
Benjamin Xu 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 2.0% 3.1% 3.3% 5.4% 7.2% 7.8% 13.8% 21.2% 32.4%
Lauren Gasek 0.6% 1.6% 2.2% 1.5% 2.8% 3.8% 3.5% 5.6% 8.9% 12.0% 20.1% 37.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.