Race 2A

priddy-freshman

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Stephen Poirier 7.8% 8.8% 12.7% 13.5% 12.2% 15.2% 10.7% 7.6% 6.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.4%
Ryutaro Sochi 26.5% 28.5% 17.9% 13.7% 7.0% 4.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Parker Colantuono 35.0% 27.3% 17.8% 11.1% 5.5% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin Snow 4.6% 5.9% 9.9% 10.5% 13.3% 13.0% 10.7% 10.1% 10.0% 7.5% 3.2% 1.3%
Benjamin Xu 0.5% 1.6% 2.5% 2.2% 3.1% 5.1% 5.1% 7.9% 9.7% 10.8% 19.2% 32.3%
Timothy Burns 4.8% 5.2% 8.2% 8.9% 10.1% 12.2% 12.7% 11.5% 11.6% 8.4% 5.1% 1.3%
Lauren Miller 3.0% 3.0% 4.6% 5.3% 7.7% 8.9% 8.8% 11.2% 12.3% 14.8% 12.4% 8.0%
Ellen Fuller 7.8% 8.3% 12.1% 13.2% 10.8% 11.1% 12.5% 10.2% 6.8% 3.8% 2.4% 1.0%
Nicholas Leshaw 2.8% 3.1% 5.1% 6.9% 9.2% 9.5% 12.2% 11.9% 11.8% 12.5% 9.6% 5.4%
Aleix Monmany Balaguer 3.9% 4.4% 5.4% 6.9% 10.9% 9.1% 11.7% 12.4% 11.3% 11.2% 8.9% 3.9%
Lucie Rochat 2.6% 2.4% 2.2% 5.3% 7.3% 7.1% 9.4% 11.2% 11.7% 13.8% 16.3% 10.7%
Lauren Gasek 0.7% 1.5% 1.6% 2.5% 2.9% 2.8% 4.0% 4.8% 8.1% 14.0% 21.4% 35.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.