Race 3A

priddy-freshman

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ryutaro Sochi 27.3% 27.4% 20.0% 12.1% 7.3% 2.9% 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Parker Colantuono 35.8% 28.4% 16.9% 9.6% 5.3% 2.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ellen Fuller 7.5% 7.5% 11.1% 11.3% 13.5% 13.9% 11.5% 8.9% 8.2% 3.9% 2.1% 0.6%
Timothy Burns 3.5% 5.9% 7.2% 9.7% 13.4% 11.9% 11.9% 10.7% 10.2% 8.4% 5.7% 1.5%
Stephen Poirier 8.0% 8.5% 12.9% 14.4% 13.4% 11.9% 11.7% 7.5% 5.7% 2.8% 2.4% 0.8%
Lauren Miller 2.3% 2.4% 4.1% 6.7% 5.9% 8.5% 9.5% 10.4% 11.9% 15.5% 14.3% 8.5%
Lauren Gasek 1.3% 1.1% 1.9% 3.2% 2.4% 4.6% 4.3% 7.4% 6.8% 10.7% 21.8% 34.5%
Aleix Monmany Balaguer 3.4% 4.6% 5.6% 7.8% 9.4% 10.3% 11.9% 11.0% 12.8% 11.3% 7.6% 4.3%
Nicholas Leshaw 2.8% 3.2% 5.3% 5.8% 9.5% 10.6% 10.4% 12.8% 14.7% 10.8% 9.6% 4.5%
Lucie Rochat 2.2% 2.9% 4.8% 5.5% 5.8% 8.5% 8.3% 10.1% 12.1% 15.8% 13.7% 10.3%
Colin Snow 4.9% 6.4% 8.2% 10.5% 12.0% 11.0% 13.0% 12.4% 9.4% 7.5% 3.2% 1.5%
Benjamin Xu 1.0% 1.7% 2.0% 3.4% 2.1% 3.3% 4.7% 7.6% 7.8% 13.3% 19.6% 33.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.