Race 4A

priddy-freshman

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Parker Colantuono 34.5% 27.9% 18.7% 9.8% 5.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Burns 4.5% 4.5% 7.6% 10.9% 11.6% 12.1% 12.2% 10.9% 10.0% 9.0% 4.9% 1.8%
Stephen Poirier 7.9% 9.4% 11.9% 13.0% 14.1% 13.0% 11.7% 9.6% 5.3% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
Ellen Fuller 5.2% 9.3% 10.4% 14.6% 14.0% 12.2% 10.1% 9.3% 7.3% 4.7% 2.5% 0.4%
Ryutaro Sochi 29.1% 26.3% 19.9% 10.4% 7.3% 4.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Miller 2.2% 3.2% 3.7% 6.8% 5.4% 8.6% 9.9% 11.4% 10.3% 16.2% 14.2% 8.1%
Lauren Gasek 1.4% 1.3% 1.9% 2.4% 3.4% 4.2% 4.2% 7.7% 6.0% 13.5% 18.6% 35.4%
Colin Snow 5.7% 6.4% 9.3% 10.8% 12.9% 10.3% 12.3% 11.9% 9.7% 4.7% 4.1% 1.9%
Lucie Rochat 2.5% 2.0% 3.4% 5.4% 7.8% 8.1% 10.7% 10.5% 14.8% 12.7% 14.2% 7.9%
Nicholas Leshaw 2.8% 4.2% 5.5% 6.0% 7.3% 10.4% 10.6% 10.0% 13.8% 13.2% 10.3% 5.9%
Aleix Monmany Balaguer 3.3% 3.6% 5.7% 6.7% 9.2% 11.1% 10.7% 10.8% 13.7% 11.2% 8.8% 5.2%
Benjamin Xu 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 3.2% 2.0% 3.4% 5.3% 6.3% 8.8% 11.7% 21.4% 33.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.