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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire-0.32+6.78vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.16+0.58vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36-0.71vs Predicted
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4Olin College of Engineering-0.37+3.89vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.00vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+0.18vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University0.03-0.19vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut0.70-2.81vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-0.14-1.89vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-0.37-2.20vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-1.38vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-1.22-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.78University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
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2.58Tufts University2.160.3%1st Place
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2.29University of Rhode Island2.360.4%1st Place
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7.89Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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5.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
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6.18University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.0%1st Place
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6.81Sacred Heart University0.030.0%1st Place
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5.19University of Connecticut0.700.1%1st Place
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7.11Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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7.8Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
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9.62University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.0%1st Place
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9.76Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Miller | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 8.2% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 28.4% | 28.1% | 19.1% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 36.8% | 27.3% | 16.5% | 11.8% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 9.5% |
| Stephen Poirier | 6.9% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Burns | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Aleix Monmany Balaguer | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Ellen Fuller | 8.3% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Lucie Rochat | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 8.5% |
| Benjamin Xu | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 21.6% | 29.8% |
| Lauren Gasek | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 18.7% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.