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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+1.30vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+4.17vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.16-0.43vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut0.70+1.29vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.14+2.35vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-1.06vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University0.03-0.22vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.37-0.23vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11+0.48vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.32-2.39vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering-0.37-3.03vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-1.22-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3University of Rhode Island2.360.4%1st Place
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6.17University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.0%1st Place
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2.57Tufts University2.160.3%1st Place
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5.29University of Connecticut0.700.1%1st Place
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7.35Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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4.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
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6.78Sacred Heart University0.030.0%1st Place
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7.77Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.0%1st Place
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7.61University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
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7.97Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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9.77Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Colantuono | 36.2% | 27.2% | 19.8% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Burns | 4.0% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 30.2% | 25.3% | 20.4% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Fuller | 6.2% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 6.3% |
| Stephen Poirier | 8.7% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Aleix Monmany Balaguer | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Lucie Rochat | 1.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% |
| Benjamin Xu | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 20.1% | 27.8% |
| Lauren Miller | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 7.3% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 9.0% |
| Lauren Gasek | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 19.5% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.