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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+4.19vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.74+1.60vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.93+2.86vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.52+3.25vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.72+1.72vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.79+0.40vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.26+1.08vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.27+1.82vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.37-1.23vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia-0.49+0.55vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.46-3.55vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.37-4.02vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-0.52-2.29vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-2.71+0.40vs Predicted
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15Oregon State University0.21-6.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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3.6University of Washington1.740.2%1st Place
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5.86University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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7.25University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
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6.72Western Washington University0.720.1%1st Place
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6.4University of Washington0.790.1%1st Place
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8.08Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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9.82University of Washington-0.270.0%1st Place
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7.77University of California at Berkeley0.370.0%1st Place
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10.55University of British Columbia-0.490.0%1st Place
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7.45Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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7.98Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
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10.71Northwestern University-0.520.0%1st Place
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14.4University of Oregon-2.710.0%1st Place
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8.23Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aitor Iriso | 13.3% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 23.8% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 0.2% |
| Axel Greening | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Austin Hauter | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Kracke | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Joanna Garcia | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 2.3% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 20.2% | 6.0% |
| Marijke Jorna | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Chandler Sharp | 4.8% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Zachary Li | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 16.5% | 23.1% | 5.6% |
| Keevan Tallon | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 7.5% | 81.7% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.