← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Berkeley0.37+6.67vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington0.79+4.26vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University0.26+5.07vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington1.74-0.29vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+0.39vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University0.37+1.82vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington0.93-1.08vs Predicted
-
8Oregon State University0.21+0.31vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University0.72-2.43vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles0.52-2.72vs Predicted
-
11University of Washington-0.27-1.11vs Predicted
-
12Western Washington University0.46-4.31vs Predicted
-
13Northwestern University-0.52-2.28vs Predicted
-
14University of British Columbia-0.49-3.61vs Predicted
-
15University of Oregon-2.71-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.67University of California at Berkeley0.370.1%1st Place
-
6.26University of Washington0.790.1%1st Place
-
8.07Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
-
3.71University of Washington1.740.2%1st Place
-
5.39University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
-
7.82Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
-
5.92University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
-
8.31Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
-
6.57Western Washington University0.720.1%1st Place
-
7.28University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
-
9.89University of Washington-0.270.0%1st Place
-
7.69Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
-
10.72Northwestern University-0.520.0%1st Place
-
10.39University of British Columbia-0.490.0%1st Place
-
14.32University of Oregon-2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josefina Ruggieri | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Austin Hauter | 7.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Kendall Kracke | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Karl Skeel | 22.4% | 20.1% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Chandler Sharp | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Hayden Potter | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Axel Greening | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Abraham Dearden | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Joanna Garcia | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 4.2% |
| Marijke Jorna | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Li | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 24.9% | 5.6% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 21.3% | 4.1% |
| Keevan Tallon | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 81.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.