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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.74+2.71vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.52+5.26vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.93+2.93vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.52+6.73vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.37+2.93vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-0.70vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.26+1.18vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.72-1.37vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University0.21-0.63vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.27+0.11vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.46-3.39vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.37-3.86vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia-0.49-2.11vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-1.29-1.24vs Predicted
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15University of Washington0.79-8.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71University of Washington1.740.2%1st Place
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7.26University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
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5.93University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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10.73Northwestern University-0.520.0%1st Place
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7.93University of California at Berkeley0.370.1%1st Place
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5.3University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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8.18Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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6.63Western Washington University0.720.1%1st Place
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8.37Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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10.11University of Washington-0.270.0%1st Place
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7.61Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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8.14Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
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10.89University of British Columbia-0.490.0%1st Place
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12.76University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
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6.44University of Washington0.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 22.3% | 20.2% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Hayden Potter | 10.5% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Li | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 15.5% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Aitor Iriso | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kendall Kracke | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Axel Greening | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Joanna Garcia | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 9.9% |
| Marijke Jorna | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Chandler Sharp | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 18.6% | 14.7% |
| Marelie Vorster | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 16.3% | 45.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 7.7% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.