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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.37+6.78vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.74+1.63vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+2.26vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University0.21+4.35vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.26+3.30vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.37+1.93vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.46+0.50vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.93-1.94vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-1.29+3.79vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.52-2.57vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-0.52-0.25vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.27-1.74vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.72-6.12vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia-0.49-3.39vs Predicted
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15University of Washington0.79-8.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.78University of California at Berkeley0.370.1%1st Place
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3.63University of Washington1.740.2%1st Place
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5.26University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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8.35Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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8.3Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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7.93Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
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7.5Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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6.06University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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12.79University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
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7.43University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
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10.75Northwestern University-0.520.0%1st Place
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10.26University of Washington-0.270.0%1st Place
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6.88Western Washington University0.720.1%1st Place
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10.61University of British Columbia-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.47University of Washington0.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josefina Ruggieri | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 23.4% | 19.5% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 12.0% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Kendall Kracke | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Chandler Sharp | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Marijke Jorna | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Hayden Potter | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Marelie Vorster | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 44.2% |
| Abraham Dearden | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Zachary Li | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 18.2% | 15.7% |
| Joanna Garcia | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.4% |
| Axel Greening | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 12.9% |
| Austin Hauter | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.