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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.55+5.85vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.05+7.95vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.59+3.73vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.97+1.87vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+1.75vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.76+0.16vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+4.12vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering0.22+4.08vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+2.50vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.43-2.29vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.95-4.90vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.26-3.21vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.56-2.77vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-0.45+0.45vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.10-2.66vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College1.08-7.32vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont-0.02-3.64vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-0.80-2.49vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University-0.79-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85Roger Williams University1.559.0%1st Place
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9.95Bowdoin College0.053.2%1st Place
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6.73Tufts University1.599.4%1st Place
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5.87Boston College1.9711.7%1st Place
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6.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.628.2%1st Place
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6.16Brown University1.7610.5%1st Place
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11.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.0%1st Place
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12.08Olin College of Engineering0.221.4%1st Place
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11.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.332.6%1st Place
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7.71Roger Williams University1.437.0%1st Place
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6.1Boston College1.9511.8%1st Place
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8.79Northeastern University1.265.9%1st Place
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10.23Boston University0.563.6%1st Place
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14.45Bentley University-0.451.0%1st Place
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12.34University of New Hampshire0.102.2%1st Place
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8.68Dartmouth College1.085.1%1st Place
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13.36University of Vermont-0.021.9%1st Place
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15.51University of Connecticut-0.801.2%1st Place
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15.82Salve Regina University-0.791.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McHugh | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Gus Macaulay | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Brock | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| James Jagielski | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Jed Lory | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 11.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| John O'Connell | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 17.1% |
| Sam Harris | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 4.7% |
| Ben Sheppard | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| William Denker | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 6.8% |
| Ryan Treat | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 19.0% | 28.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 18.6% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.