← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University4.51+1.67vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.74+2.25vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+2.07vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.83vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston3.22+0.04vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University3.39-1.18vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida3.29-1.96vs Predicted
-
8University of Wisconsin2.61-1.57vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College2.90-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.67Georgetown University4.510.3%1st Place
-
4.25Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
5.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
-
5.83U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
5.04College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
-
4.82Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
-
5.04University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
-
6.43University of Wisconsin2.610.1%1st Place
-
5.85Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 32.2% | 23.1% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.7% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Krysta Rohde | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 8.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 17.5% |
| Corey Hall | 9.2% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% |
| Morgan Wilson | 10.4% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 7.7% |
| Christine Porter | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 28.3% |
| Emilie Mademann | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.