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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.74+2.69vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.52+5.15vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.79+3.38vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.37+3.85vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+0.40vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.93-0.03vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia-0.49+3.63vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.37-0.09vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-1.29+3.81vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.26-1.67vs Predicted
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11Oregon State University0.21-2.50vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.27-1.70vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.72-6.11vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University0.46-6.51vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University-0.52-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69University of Washington1.740.2%1st Place
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7.15University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
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6.38University of Washington0.790.1%1st Place
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7.85University of California at Berkeley0.370.1%1st Place
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5.4University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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10.63University of British Columbia-0.490.0%1st Place
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7.91Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
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12.81University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
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8.33Western Washington University0.260.0%1st Place
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8.5Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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10.3University of Washington-0.270.0%1st Place
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6.89Western Washington University0.720.1%1st Place
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7.49Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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10.7Northwestern University-0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 22.4% | 21.0% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 9.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 11.7% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hayden Potter | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 15.1% |
| Chandler Sharp | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Marelie Vorster | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 17.2% | 44.6% |
| Kendall Kracke | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Joanna Garcia | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 11.4% |
| Axel Greening | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Marijke Jorna | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Zachary Li | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.