← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University0.26+7.14vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley0.37+5.76vs Predicted
-
3University of Oregon-1.29+9.64vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington0.93+1.99vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+0.40vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University0.46+1.59vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University0.37+0.83vs Predicted
-
8Oregon State University0.21+0.45vs Predicted
-
9Northwestern University-0.52+1.74vs Predicted
-
10University of Washington0.79-3.46vs Predicted
-
11University of Washington1.74-7.11vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles0.52-4.38vs Predicted
-
13University of British Columbia-0.49-2.18vs Predicted
-
14Western Washington University0.72-7.33vs Predicted
-
15University of Washington-0.27-5.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.14Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
-
7.76University of California at Berkeley0.370.1%1st Place
-
12.64University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
-
5.99University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
-
5.4University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
-
7.59Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
-
7.83Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
-
8.45Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
-
10.74Northwestern University-0.520.0%1st Place
-
6.54University of Washington0.790.1%1st Place
-
3.89University of Washington1.740.2%1st Place
-
7.62University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
-
10.82University of British Columbia-0.490.0%1st Place
-
6.67Western Washington University0.720.1%1st Place
-
9.93University of Washington-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Kracke | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Marelie Vorster | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 46.1% |
| Hayden Potter | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Aitor Iriso | 12.4% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Marijke Jorna | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Chandler Sharp | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
| Zachary Li | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 12.9% |
| Austin Hauter | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Karl Skeel | 22.4% | 19.8% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 19.0% | 15.1% |
| Axel Greening | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Joanna Garcia | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.