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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.50+5.11vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+4.73vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.03+1.62vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.11+3.41vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia-0.92+5.43vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.01+1.85vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.95-2.32vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.53-4.53vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.10-0.92vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University-0.11-1.82vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.12-3.61vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.16-3.74vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-1.70-0.93vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.71-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11University of California at Berkeley0.500.1%1st Place
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6.73University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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4.62Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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7.41University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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10.43University of British Columbia-0.920.0%1st Place
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7.85Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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4.68University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
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3.47University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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8.08University of Washington-0.100.1%1st Place
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8.18Oregon State University-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.39Western Washington University0.120.1%1st Place
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8.26University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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12.07Northwestern University-1.700.0%1st Place
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9.73Western Washington University-0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augustus Doricko | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| James Melvin | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 14.0% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cassandra Shand | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Goguen | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 21.1% | 18.0% |
| Nikoline Alden | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 2.5% |
| Connor Hughes | 14.8% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 24.3% | 18.6% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Kauffman | 5.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 2.7% |
| Pierre Carr | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Niko Twilla | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 5.0% |
| Charles Novek | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 51.1% |
| Amber Crabb | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.