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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University-0.11+6.93vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.95+2.72vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.10+5.02vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.01+3.73vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.53-1.46vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.03-1.20vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.16+0.95vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.12-0.62vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-2.00vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia-0.92+0.50vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.71-1.09vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.50-5.83vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.11-5.72vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University-1.70-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.93Oregon State University-0.110.0%1st Place
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4.72University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
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8.02University of Washington-0.100.0%1st Place
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7.73Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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3.54University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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4.8Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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7.95University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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7.38Western Washington University0.120.1%1st Place
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7.0University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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10.5University of British Columbia-0.920.0%1st Place
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9.91Western Washington University-0.710.0%1st Place
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6.17University of California at Berkeley0.500.1%1st Place
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7.28University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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12.09Northwestern University-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre Carr | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 3.9% |
| Connor Hughes | 13.9% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| John Kauffman | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 2.4% |
| Nikoline Alden | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Erik Skeel | 21.3% | 22.0% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 14.0% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Niko Twilla | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| James Melvin | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Goguen | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 19.7% | 18.9% |
| Amber Crabb | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 17.5% | 13.1% |
| Augustus Doricko | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Cassandra Shand | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Charles Novek | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 14.8% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.