← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington1.53+2.31vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+4.42vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University1.03+1.46vs Predicted
-
4University of British Columbia-0.92+6.08vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles0.11+2.16vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington-0.49+2.96vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley0.50-1.34vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University-0.01-0.69vs Predicted
-
9University of Washington-0.16-1.09vs Predicted
-
10University of Washington0.95-5.38vs Predicted
-
11Oregon State University-0.11-3.23vs Predicted
-
12Northwestern University-1.70-0.08vs Predicted
-
13Western Washington University-0.96-2.91vs Predicted
-
14Western Washington University-0.71-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.31University of Washington1.530.3%1st Place
-
6.42University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
-
4.46Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
-
10.08University of British Columbia-0.920.0%1st Place
-
7.16University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
-
8.96University of Washington-0.490.0%1st Place
-
5.66University of California at Berkeley0.500.1%1st Place
-
7.31Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
-
7.91University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
-
4.62University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
-
7.77Oregon State University-0.110.0%1st Place
-
11.92Northwestern University-1.700.0%1st Place
-
10.09Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
-
9.33Western Washington University-0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 25.5% | 21.4% | 15.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 15.5% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Goguen | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 17.8% | 14.5% |
| Cassandra Shand | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Ian Wolcott | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 6.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Nikoline Alden | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Connor Hughes | 13.2% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Carr | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Charles Novek | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 45.4% |
| Carter Dojan | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 16.1% |
| Amber Crabb | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.