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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.95+3.62vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.53+1.21vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.03+1.35vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.50+1.86vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+1.71vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.11+1.14vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.71+2.24vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.16-0.19vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.01-1.58vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University-0.11-2.21vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.96-0.74vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.49-3.19vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-1.70-1.16vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia-0.92-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
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3.21University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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4.35Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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5.86University of California at Berkeley0.500.1%1st Place
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6.71University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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7.14University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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9.24Western Washington University-0.710.0%1st Place
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7.81University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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7.42Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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7.79Oregon State University-0.110.0%1st Place
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10.26Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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8.81University of Washington-0.490.0%1st Place
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11.84Northwestern University-1.700.0%1st Place
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9.93University of British Columbia-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hughes | 13.1% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Erik Skeel | 25.0% | 22.8% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 16.1% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Augustus Doricko | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| James Melvin | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Cassandra Shand | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Amber Crabb | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 8.5% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Nikoline Alden | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Pierre Carr | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Carter Dojan | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 18.6% | 15.4% |
| Ian Wolcott | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% |
| Charles Novek | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 16.7% | 44.3% |
| Matthew Goguen | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.