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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.01+6.45vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.95+2.68vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.53+0.35vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.11+3.26vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.49+4.11vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.12+1.34vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.03-2.60vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.70+3.86vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.50-2.91vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University-0.11-1.92vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.16-2.85vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia-0.92-1.76vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-6.27vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.96-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.45Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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4.68University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
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3.35University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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7.26University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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9.11University of Washington-0.490.0%1st Place
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7.34Western Washington University0.120.1%1st Place
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4.4Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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11.86Northwestern University-1.700.0%1st Place
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6.09University of California at Berkeley0.500.1%1st Place
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8.08Oregon State University-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.15University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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10.24University of British Columbia-0.920.0%1st Place
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6.73University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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10.26Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikoline Alden | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 14.4% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Erik Skeel | 23.5% | 20.8% | 17.1% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Ian Wolcott | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 6.7% |
| Niko Twilla | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 16.4% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Novek | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 16.4% | 47.1% |
| Augustus Doricko | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Pierre Carr | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 3.4% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
| Matthew Goguen | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 15.9% |
| James Melvin | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Carter Dojan | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 18.9% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.