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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.95+3.74vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University-0.11+5.69vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+3.78vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.53-0.57vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.03-0.33vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.11+1.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.50-1.22vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.01-0.51vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.96+1.43vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.49-0.85vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.16-2.89vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.12-4.76vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia-0.92-2.80vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University-1.70-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
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7.69Oregon State University-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.78University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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3.43University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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4.67Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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7.36University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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5.78University of California at Berkeley0.500.1%1st Place
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7.49Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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10.43Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Washington-0.490.0%1st Place
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8.11University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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7.24Western Washington University0.120.1%1st Place
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10.2University of British Columbia-0.920.0%1st Place
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11.93Northwestern University-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hughes | 15.0% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Pierre Carr | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| James Melvin | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Erik Skeel | 23.2% | 20.7% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 12.3% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Cassandra Shand | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Augustus Doricko | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Nikoline Alden | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 2.4% |
| Carter Dojan | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 17.9% | 17.9% |
| Ian Wolcott | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 6.7% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% |
| Niko Twilla | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Goguen | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 15.8% |
| Charles Novek | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 15.7% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.