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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.39+3.84vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.51+0.83vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+1.14vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.61+2.33vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-0.11vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.29-1.01vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.05vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.90-2.15vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.22-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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2.83Georgetown University4.510.3%1st Place
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4.14Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.33University of Wisconsin2.610.0%1st Place
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4.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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4.99University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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5.95U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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5.85Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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5.17College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Wilson | 10.4% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 6.9% |
| Sydney Bolger | 29.1% | 23.1% | 17.7% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Marlena Fauer | 14.3% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Christine Porter | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 25.8% |
| Krysta Rohde | 9.7% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 8.5% |
| Abby Featherstone | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 7.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 18.0% |
| Emilie Mademann | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 18.7% |
| Corey Hall | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.