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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.20+6.22vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.73+3.55vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.53+3.29vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.39+2.76vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.03+6.94vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+2.70vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-1.89vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.50+2.27vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-1.28+7.78vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.64-0.73vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.61-5.07vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-2.47vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.17-5.45vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.93+1.07vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College0.73-5.56vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.61-1.73vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont-0.76-2.19vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-3.91vs Predicted
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19Olin College of Engineering-0.96-3.43vs Predicted
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20University of Connecticut-1.09-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.22Tufts University1.208.0%1st Place
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5.55Boston College1.7313.8%1st Place
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6.29Boston College1.5310.0%1st Place
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6.76Roger Williams University1.398.1%1st Place
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11.94Brown University0.032.1%1st Place
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8.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.815.2%1st Place
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5.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8013.9%1st Place
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10.27Northeastern University0.502.9%1st Place
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16.78Bentley University-1.280.4%1st Place
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9.27Boston University0.644.2%1st Place
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5.93Roger Williams University1.6110.9%1st Place
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9.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.684.2%1st Place
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7.55Dartmouth College1.176.9%1st Place
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15.07Salve Regina University-0.930.7%1st Place
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9.44Bowdoin College0.734.2%1st Place
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14.27University of New Hampshire-0.611.1%1st Place
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14.81University of Vermont-0.760.9%1st Place
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14.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.691.4%1st Place
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15.57Olin College of Engineering-0.960.7%1st Place
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15.85University of Connecticut-1.090.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtland Doyle | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 13.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Conrad Straden | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Andy Yu | 13.9% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Brett Tardie | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 31.8% |
| Buck Rathbun | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Tristan McDonald | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte West | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 10.8% |
| Shea McGrath | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| James Frady | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 7.5% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 8.8% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 6.2% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 15.0% |
| Alyson Liu | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.