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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+4.14vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.61+4.09vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+6.07vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.39+2.63vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.64+4.44vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.53+0.34vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-1.28+9.59vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.20-0.78vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68+0.28vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.50+0.18vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.73-1.90vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.17-4.21vs Predicted
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13Boston College1.73-7.48vs Predicted
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14Brown University0.03-1.73vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.93+0.05vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.61-1.74vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering-0.96-1.52vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-1.09-2.08vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont-0.76-4.48vs Predicted
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20Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-5.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8015.3%1st Place
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6.09Roger Williams University1.6110.1%1st Place
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9.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.2%1st Place
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6.63Roger Williams University1.399.1%1st Place
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9.44Boston University0.644.2%1st Place
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6.34Boston College1.539.3%1st Place
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16.59Bentley University-1.280.8%1st Place
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7.22Tufts University1.206.8%1st Place
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9.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.684.2%1st Place
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10.18Northeastern University0.504.0%1st Place
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9.1Bowdoin College0.734.0%1st Place
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7.79Dartmouth College1.177.4%1st Place
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5.52Boston College1.7312.9%1st Place
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12.27Brown University0.031.8%1st Place
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15.05Salve Regina University-0.930.8%1st Place
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14.26University of New Hampshire-0.611.5%1st Place
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15.48Olin College of Engineering-0.961.0%1st Place
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15.92University of Connecticut-1.090.5%1st Place
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14.52University of Vermont-0.761.2%1st Place
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14.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.690.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Yu | 15.3% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Straden | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Buck Rathbun | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Tardie | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 29.0% |
| Courtland Doyle | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Carter Anderson | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Shea McGrath | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte West | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alex Lech | 12.9% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 12.4% |
| James Frady | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% |
| Benjamin Ely | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 15.0% |
| Alyson Liu | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 18.1% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 8.9% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.