← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University4.51+1.68vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.22+3.40vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.74+1.13vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+0.91vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College2.90+0.70vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida3.29-1.01vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.07vs Predicted
-
8University of Wisconsin2.61-1.55vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University3.39-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.68Georgetown University4.510.3%1st Place
-
5.4College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
-
4.13Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
-
4.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
-
5.7Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
-
4.99University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
-
5.93U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
6.45University of Wisconsin2.610.1%1st Place
-
4.81Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 31.2% | 25.2% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Corey Hall | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 11.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 15.1% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Krysta Rohde | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 7.7% |
| Emilie Mademann | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 17.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 7.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 17.1% |
| Christine Porter | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 29.3% |
| Morgan Wilson | 9.7% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.