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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+2.57vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.93+1.96vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.52+2.12vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.26+1.74vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.27+1.77vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.37-0.67vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.37-1.87vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.52-0.72vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-2.71+1.43vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia-0.49-2.83vs Predicted
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11Oregon State University0.21-5.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.2%1st Place
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3.96University of Washington0.930.2%1st Place
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5.12University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
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5.74Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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6.77University of Washington-0.270.1%1st Place
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5.33University of California at Berkeley0.370.1%1st Place
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5.13Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
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7.28Northwestern University-0.520.0%1st Place
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10.43University of Oregon-2.710.0%1st Place
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7.17University of British Columbia-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.5Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aitor Iriso | 19.9% | 18.7% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hayden Potter | 18.1% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Abraham Dearden | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Kendall Kracke | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 1.0% |
| Joanna Garcia | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 18.6% | 3.0% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 0.9% |
| Chandler Sharp | 11.1% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Zachary Li | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 22.1% | 5.6% |
| Keevan Tallon | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 81.9% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 22.0% | 5.2% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.