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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.37+4.38vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.26+3.52vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+0.60vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.37+1.46vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.93-1.01vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University0.21-0.34vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.52-2.30vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.27-1.38vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.52-1.56vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia-0.49-2.82vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-2.71-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38University of California at Berkeley0.370.1%1st Place
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5.52Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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3.6University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.2%1st Place
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5.46Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
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3.99University of Washington0.930.2%1st Place
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5.66Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
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4.7University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
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6.62University of Washington-0.270.1%1st Place
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7.44Northwestern University-0.520.0%1st Place
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7.18University of British Columbia-0.490.0%1st Place
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10.44University of Oregon-2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josefina Ruggieri | 8.2% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Kendall Kracke | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 0.7% |
| Aitor Iriso | 19.0% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Hayden Potter | 18.7% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 0.9% |
| Abraham Dearden | 12.7% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Joanna Garcia | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 2.4% |
| Zachary Li | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 17.7% | 22.4% | 7.5% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 17.7% | 22.1% | 4.7% |
| Keevan Tallon | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 7.0% | 81.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.