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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.52+4.08vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.93+2.02vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.52+4.69vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.37+1.62vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-1.38vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.26-0.33vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University0.21-1.39vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.27-1.17vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.37-3.52vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia-0.49-2.62vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-1.29-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
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4.02University of Washington0.930.2%1st Place
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7.69Northwestern University-0.520.0%1st Place
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5.62University of California at Berkeley0.370.1%1st Place
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3.62University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.2%1st Place
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5.67Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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5.61Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
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6.83University of Washington-0.270.1%1st Place
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5.48Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
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7.38University of British Columbia-0.490.0%1st Place
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9.0University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abraham Dearden | 9.5% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Hayden Potter | 18.0% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Li | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 18.9% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Aitor Iriso | 21.5% | 18.7% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kendall Kracke | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Joanna Garcia | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 8.6% |
| Chandler Sharp | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 14.3% |
| Marelie Vorster | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 17.8% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.