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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.37+4.47vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+1.50vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University0.21+2.98vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.26+1.85vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.37+0.38vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.93-1.87vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.29+1.96vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.52-3.06vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.52-1.37vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.27-3.16vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia-0.49-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47University of California at Berkeley0.370.1%1st Place
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3.5University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.2%1st Place
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5.98Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
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5.85Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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5.38Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
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4.13University of Washington0.930.2%1st Place
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8.96University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
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4.94University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
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7.63Northwestern University-0.520.0%1st Place
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6.84University of Washington-0.270.1%1st Place
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7.33University of British Columbia-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josefina Ruggieri | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Aitor Iriso | 22.6% | 18.7% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 4.1% |
| Kendall Kracke | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 3.9% |
| Chandler Sharp | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
| Hayden Potter | 15.9% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Marelie Vorster | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 15.6% | 45.6% |
| Abraham Dearden | 11.0% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Zachary Li | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 19.8% | 16.1% |
| Joanna Garcia | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 9.5% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 17.9% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.