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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.52+4.12vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.37+3.36vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+0.70vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.93+0.20vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia-0.49+2.50vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.37-0.56vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.29+1.95vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.26-2.44vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University0.21-3.11vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.27-3.15vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-0.52-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
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5.36University of California at Berkeley0.370.1%1st Place
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3.7University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.2%1st Place
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4.2University of Washington0.930.2%1st Place
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7.5University of British Columbia-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.44Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
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8.95University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
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5.56Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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5.89Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
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6.85University of Washington-0.270.1%1st Place
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7.42Northwestern University-0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abraham Dearden | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 10.6% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Aitor Iriso | 19.5% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 16.4% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 17.5% | 17.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Marelie Vorster | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 44.8% |
| Kendall Kracke | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 4.3% |
| Joanna Garcia | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 8.8% |
| Zachary Li | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.