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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.26+4.77vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.37+3.40vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-1.29+6.22vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.93+0.20vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-1.39vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.37-0.61vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University0.21-1.37vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.52-0.53vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.52-3.89vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia-0.49-2.58vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.27-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.77Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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5.4University of California at Berkeley0.370.1%1st Place
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9.22University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
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4.2University of Washington0.930.2%1st Place
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3.61University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.2%1st Place
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5.39Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
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5.63Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
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7.47Northwestern University-0.520.0%1st Place
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5.11University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
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7.42University of British Columbia-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.79University of Washington-0.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Kracke | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Marelie Vorster | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 16.4% | 49.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 15.7% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Aitor Iriso | 21.5% | 19.4% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Chandler Sharp | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Zachary Li | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 13.8% |
| Abraham Dearden | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 15.6% |
| Joanna Garcia | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.