← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Berkeley0.50+3.39vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+3.05vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University1.03+0.46vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles0.11+1.31vs Predicted
-
5University of British Columbia-0.92+2.35vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University-0.01-0.46vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington0.95-3.49vs Predicted
-
8Oregon State University-0.11-2.23vs Predicted
-
9University of Washington-0.16-3.08vs Predicted
-
10Northwestern University-1.70-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.39University of California at Berkeley0.500.1%1st Place
-
5.05University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
-
3.46Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
-
5.31University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
-
7.35University of British Columbia-0.920.0%1st Place
-
5.54Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
-
3.51University of Washington0.950.2%1st Place
-
5.77Oregon State University-0.110.1%1st Place
-
5.92University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
-
8.7Northwestern University-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augustus Doricko | 14.6% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| James Melvin | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 1.9% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 21.6% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 3.1% |
| Matthew Goguen | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 14.3% | 25.7% | 21.6% |
| Nikoline Alden | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 4.9% |
| Connor Hughes | 19.0% | 19.9% | 17.7% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Pierre Carr | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 4.9% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 5.9% |
| Charles Novek | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 17.5% | 56.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.