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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University-0.11+4.75vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.95+1.55vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.01+2.65vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.03-0.64vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.16+0.84vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-1.05vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia-0.92+0.55vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.50-3.65vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.11-3.72vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-1.70-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75Oregon State University-0.110.1%1st Place
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3.55University of Washington0.950.2%1st Place
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5.65Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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3.36Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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5.84University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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4.95University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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7.55University of British Columbia-0.920.0%1st Place
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4.35University of California at Berkeley0.500.1%1st Place
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5.28University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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8.71Northwestern University-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre Carr | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 5.8% |
| Connor Hughes | 20.1% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nikoline Alden | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 20.8% | 20.4% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 5.2% |
| James Melvin | 10.6% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| Matthew Goguen | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 26.7% | 21.4% |
| Augustus Doricko | 13.0% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 9.1% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| Charles Novek | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 56.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.