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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+3.96vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.03+1.39vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia-0.92+4.50vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.11+1.30vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.50-0.58vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.01-0.42vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.16-1.08vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.95-4.55vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University-0.11-3.23vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-1.70-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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3.39Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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7.5University of British Columbia-0.920.0%1st Place
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5.3University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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4.42University of California at Berkeley0.500.1%1st Place
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5.58Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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5.92University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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3.45University of Washington0.950.2%1st Place
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5.77Oregon State University-0.110.1%1st Place
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8.72Northwestern University-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Melvin | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 22.5% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Goguen | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 28.2% | 22.6% |
| Cassandra Shand | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 2.5% |
| Augustus Doricko | 13.2% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Nikoline Alden | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 9.1% | 4.6% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 4.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 5.7% |
| Connor Hughes | 22.3% | 18.8% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Pierre Carr | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 4.8% |
| Charles Novek | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 17.2% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.