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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.95+2.50vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.03+1.37vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.50+1.52vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+0.97vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.11+0.27vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.16-0.14vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.01-1.45vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-0.11-2.24vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-1.70-0.26vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia-0.92-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5University of Washington0.950.2%1st Place
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3.37Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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4.52University of California at Berkeley0.500.1%1st Place
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4.97University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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5.27University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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5.86University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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5.55Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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5.76Oregon State University-0.110.1%1st Place
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8.74Northwestern University-1.700.0%1st Place
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7.45University of British Columbia-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hughes | 22.0% | 18.9% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 23.0% | 19.3% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 12.4% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| James Melvin | 8.7% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 1.5% |
| Cassandra Shand | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 5.0% |
| Nikoline Alden | 6.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 3.4% |
| Pierre Carr | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 4.9% |
| Charles Novek | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 58.5% |
| Matthew Goguen | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 25.6% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.