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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.39+5.71vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.20+5.40vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+2.08vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.73+1.66vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.53+1.16vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.61-0.13vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.50+3.14vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68+1.54vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.64+0.45vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.73-1.06vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.17-3.20vs Predicted
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12Brown University0.03+0.13vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-4.11vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.93+1.18vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-1.09+1.08vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.76-1.19vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-2.82vs Predicted
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18Bentley University-1.28-1.42vs Predicted
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19University of New Hampshire-0.61-4.97vs Predicted
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20Olin College of Engineering-0.96-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Roger Williams University1.397.8%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University1.207.0%1st Place
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5.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8013.9%1st Place
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5.66Boston College1.7311.5%1st Place
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6.16Boston College1.5310.9%1st Place
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5.87Roger Williams University1.6111.9%1st Place
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10.14Northeastern University0.502.9%1st Place
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9.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.684.0%1st Place
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9.45Boston University0.644.4%1st Place
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8.94Bowdoin College0.735.0%1st Place
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7.8Dartmouth College1.176.7%1st Place
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12.13Brown University0.033.0%1st Place
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8.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.9%1st Place
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15.18Salve Regina University-0.930.7%1st Place
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16.08University of Connecticut-1.090.7%1st Place
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14.81University of Vermont-0.760.9%1st Place
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14.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.691.1%1st Place
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16.58Bentley University-1.280.7%1st Place
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14.03University of New Hampshire-0.611.2%1st Place
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15.38Olin College of Engineering-0.961.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Herman | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Courtland Doyle | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Yu | 13.9% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Buck Rathbun | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Shea McGrath | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte West | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Conrad Straden | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 12.6% |
| Alyson Liu | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 18.6% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 10.0% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 5.7% |
| Brett Tardie | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 29.2% |
| James Frady | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 6.6% |
| Benjamin Ely | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.