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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.51+1.67vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.29+3.25vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+2.95vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.39+0.74vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.22+0.04vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.90-0.21vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.74-2.90vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.61-1.57vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Georgetown University4.510.3%1st Place
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5.25University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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5.95U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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4.74Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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5.04College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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5.79Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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4.1Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.43University of Wisconsin2.610.1%1st Place
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5.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 32.9% | 21.5% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 17.8% |
| Morgan Wilson | 10.3% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% |
| Corey Hall | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.6% |
| Emilie Mademann | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 15.4% |
| Marlena Fauer | 13.5% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Christine Porter | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 28.0% |
| Krysta Rohde | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.