← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University-0.01+4.54vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington0.95+1.53vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles0.11+2.43vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University1.03-0.60vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University-1.70+3.57vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley0.50-1.60vs Predicted
-
7Oregon State University-0.11-1.18vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington-0.16-2.13vs Predicted
-
9University of British Columbia-0.92-1.54vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.54Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
-
3.53University of Washington0.950.2%1st Place
-
5.43University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
-
3.4Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
-
8.57Northwestern University-1.700.0%1st Place
-
4.4University of California at Berkeley0.500.2%1st Place
-
5.82Oregon State University-0.110.1%1st Place
-
5.87University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
-
7.46University of British Columbia-0.920.0%1st Place
-
4.98University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikoline Alden | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 4.8% |
| Connor Hughes | 20.2% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Cassandra Shand | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 3.3% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 21.0% | 20.4% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Charles Novek | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 15.3% | 56.2% |
| Augustus Doricko | 15.1% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Pierre Carr | 5.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 10.8% | 5.1% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 5.4% |
| Matthew Goguen | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 26.2% | 21.7% |
| James Melvin | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.