← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington0.95+2.51vs Predicted
-
2Oregon State University-0.11+3.84vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+2.05vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University1.03-0.62vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles0.11+0.28vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley0.50-1.58vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University-0.01-1.48vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington-0.16-2.14vs Predicted
-
9University of British Columbia-0.92-1.56vs Predicted
-
10Northwestern University-1.70-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.51University of Washington0.950.2%1st Place
-
5.84Oregon State University-0.110.1%1st Place
-
5.05University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
-
3.38Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
-
5.28University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
-
4.42University of California at Berkeley0.500.1%1st Place
-
5.52Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
-
5.86University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
-
7.44University of British Columbia-0.920.0%1st Place
-
8.71Northwestern University-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hughes | 21.3% | 18.7% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Pierre Carr | 7.3% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 5.5% |
| James Melvin | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 2.1% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 21.3% | 20.0% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Cassandra Shand | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 3.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 13.5% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Nikoline Alden | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 3.7% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 5.5% |
| Matthew Goguen | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 24.7% | 22.0% |
| Charles Novek | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 16.4% | 56.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.