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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+1.60vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.55+0.49vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.11+2.28vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.67+2.47vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61+1.68vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.70+0.42vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.35+2.18vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-0.90vs Predicted
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9Duke University0.95-3.27vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-1.53vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-1.32+0.64vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-1.26-0.28vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-1.88-0.08vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-1.15-2.77vs Predicted
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15University of Georgia-1.54-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6North Carolina State University2.540.3%1st Place
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2.49Jacksonville University2.550.3%1st Place
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5.28Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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6.47Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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6.68University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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6.42Christopher Newport University0.700.0%1st Place
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9.18University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.1Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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5.73Duke University0.950.1%1st Place
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8.47SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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11.64William and Mary-1.320.0%1st Place
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11.72Virginia Tech-1.260.0%1st Place
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12.92Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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11.23North Carolina State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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12.08University of Georgia-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 30.7% | 26.2% | 18.5% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 33.1% | 26.7% | 17.2% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 7.9% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carrie Marshall | 3.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Jones | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hoagland | 3.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Maggie Royal | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 5.3% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Dillon Coppersmith | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 19.2% | 15.3% |
| David Fehrle | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 13.9% |
| victor lu | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 21.6% | 35.4% |
| Adam Augustine | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 10.2% |
| Benjamin Tonks | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 18.3% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.