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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.55+1.56vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.54+0.49vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.11+2.28vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.67+2.46vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61+1.71vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology0.45+1.11vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.70-0.65vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.35+1.21vs Predicted
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9Duke University0.95-3.28vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-1.54+2.20vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-1.26+0.54vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-3.49vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-1.15-1.60vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-1.88-1.21vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-1.32-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Jacksonville University2.550.3%1st Place
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2.49North Carolina State University2.540.3%1st Place
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5.28Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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6.46Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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6.71University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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7.11Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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6.35Christopher Newport University0.700.1%1st Place
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9.21University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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5.72Duke University0.950.1%1st Place
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12.2University of Georgia-1.540.0%1st Place
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11.54Virginia Tech-1.260.0%1st Place
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8.51SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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11.4North Carolina State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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12.79Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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11.66William and Mary-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Rose | 31.7% | 26.8% | 17.2% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 32.9% | 27.2% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 8.1% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carrie Marshall | 3.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jones | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Royal | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Hoagland | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 5.2% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Tonks | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 19.9% | 22.7% |
| David Fehrle | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 17.7% | 15.2% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Adam Augustine | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 12.0% |
| victor lu | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 14.9% | 20.0% | 32.9% |
| Dillon Coppersmith | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 18.9% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.