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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.55+1.57vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.67+4.41vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.54-0.47vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.35+5.23vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61+1.68vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.11-0.61vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-0.03vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.70-1.62vs Predicted
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9Duke University0.95-3.28vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-1.26+1.57vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.54+1.13vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-1.32-0.10vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-4.46vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-1.88-1.22vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University-1.15-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57Jacksonville University2.550.3%1st Place
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6.41Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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2.53North Carolina State University2.540.3%1st Place
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9.23University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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6.68University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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5.39Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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6.97Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.1%1st Place
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6.38Christopher Newport University0.700.0%1st Place
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5.72Duke University0.950.1%1st Place
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11.57Virginia Tech-1.260.0%1st Place
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12.13University of Georgia-1.540.0%1st Place
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11.9William and Mary-1.320.0%1st Place
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8.54SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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12.78Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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11.21North Carolina State University-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Rose | 31.7% | 27.0% | 17.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carrie Marshall | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 32.0% | 25.3% | 19.1% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Alex Jones | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Royal | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Hoagland | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Fehrle | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 14.2% |
| Benjamin Tonks | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 20.1% | 22.7% |
| Dillon Coppersmith | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 17.5% | 16.6% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| victor lu | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 19.5% | 33.7% |
| Adam Augustine | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.