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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.55+1.53vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61+4.73vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.54-0.46vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.11+1.45vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.24+2.80vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology0.45+1.49vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.67-0.36vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.35+1.59vs Predicted
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9Duke University0.95-3.05vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-1.88+4.04vs Predicted
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11University of Pittsburgh-0.62-0.35vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-1.32+0.67vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.39-0.15vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-5.15vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University-1.15-2.97vs Predicted
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16University of Georgia-1.54-2.73vs Predicted
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17Virginia Tech-1.79-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Jacksonville University2.550.3%1st Place
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6.73University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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2.54North Carolina State University2.540.3%1st Place
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5.45Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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7.8Christopher Newport University0.240.0%1st Place
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7.49Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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6.64Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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9.59University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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5.95Duke University0.950.1%1st Place
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14.04Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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10.65University of Pittsburgh-0.620.0%1st Place
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12.67William and Mary-1.320.0%1st Place
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12.85University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.390.0%1st Place
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8.85SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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12.03North Carolina State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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13.27University of Georgia-1.540.0%1st Place
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13.92Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Rose | 30.6% | 27.8% | 17.6% | 13.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jones | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Scott Harris | 31.8% | 25.4% | 20.3% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 8.3% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Douglass | 2.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Royal | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carrie Marshall | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| victor lu | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 25.9% |
| Bryce Merrill | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
| Dillon Coppersmith | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 11.5% |
| John Carty | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 11.5% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Adam Augustine | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 7.1% |
| Benjamin Tonks | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 16.4% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.