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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+1.54vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.24+5.88vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.55-0.45vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology0.45+3.35vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.11+0.38vs Predicted
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6Duke University0.95-0.04vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.67-0.41vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61-1.24vs Predicted
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9University of Pittsburgh-0.62+1.69vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.39+2.76vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-2.20vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-1.32+0.58vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-1.54+0.27vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-1.79-0.08vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University-1.15-2.94vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-1.88-1.86vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland-0.35-7.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54North Carolina State University2.540.3%1st Place
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7.88Christopher Newport University0.240.0%1st Place
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2.55Jacksonville University2.550.3%1st Place
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7.35Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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5.38Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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5.96Duke University0.950.1%1st Place
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6.59Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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6.76University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.1%1st Place
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10.69University of Pittsburgh-0.620.0%1st Place
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12.76University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.390.0%1st Place
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8.8SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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12.58William and Mary-1.320.0%1st Place
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13.27University of Georgia-1.540.0%1st Place
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13.92Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
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12.06North Carolina State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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14.14Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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9.76University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 30.7% | 26.4% | 19.2% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Douglass | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 31.0% | 27.1% | 18.7% | 11.7% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Royal | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Hodges | 5.8% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carrie Marshall | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jones | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Merrill | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| John Carty | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 11.0% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Dillon Coppersmith | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 10.2% |
| Benjamin Tonks | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 16.3% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 24.9% |
| Adam Augustine | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% |
| victor lu | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 17.6% | 26.1% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.