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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.51+1.70vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+2.27vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+2.09vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.39+0.71vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.22+0.04vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.16vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.61-0.52vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.29-2.97vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.90-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7Georgetown University4.510.3%1st Place
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4.27Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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5.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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4.71Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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5.04College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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5.84U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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6.48University of Wisconsin2.610.1%1st Place
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5.03University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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5.85Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 30.7% | 24.3% | 17.4% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.7% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Krysta Rohde | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% |
| Morgan Wilson | 10.8% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 6.5% |
| Corey Hall | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 9.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 16.7% |
| Christine Porter | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 27.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 10.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 8.7% |
| Emilie Mademann | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.