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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.17+6.74vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+6.87vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.64+6.43vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+1.04vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.61+0.93vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.50+3.98vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.39-0.17vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.53-1.72vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-1.28+7.70vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-0.43vs Predicted
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11Brown University0.03+1.04vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.73-6.33vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69+1.22vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.20-6.64vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.61-0.78vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering-0.96-0.43vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College0.73-7.93vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont-0.76-3.16vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut-1.09-3.18vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University-0.93-5.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74Dartmouth College1.177.0%1st Place
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8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.8%1st Place
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9.43Boston University0.644.8%1st Place
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5.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8014.8%1st Place
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5.93Roger Williams University1.6110.3%1st Place
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9.98Northeastern University0.503.3%1st Place
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6.83Roger Williams University1.398.1%1st Place
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6.28Boston College1.5310.3%1st Place
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16.7Bentley University-1.280.4%1st Place
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9.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.684.0%1st Place
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12.04Brown University0.031.9%1st Place
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5.67Boston College1.7311.7%1st Place
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14.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.690.9%1st Place
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7.36Tufts University1.207.9%1st Place
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14.22University of New Hampshire-0.611.8%1st Place
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15.57Olin College of Engineering-0.961.1%1st Place
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9.07Bowdoin College0.734.7%1st Place
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14.84University of Vermont-0.760.9%1st Place
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15.82University of Connecticut-1.090.4%1st Place
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14.82Salve Regina University-0.931.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte West | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Conrad Straden | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Buck Rathbun | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andy Yu | 14.8% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Edward Herman | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brett Tardie | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 29.0% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Alex Lech | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 6.0% |
| Courtland Doyle | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Frady | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 7.4% |
| Benjamin Ely | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 15.3% |
| Shea McGrath | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 10.3% |
| Alyson Liu | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 18.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.