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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University2.14+1.21vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.30+1.26vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.78+1.20vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.33-0.70vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.75+2.56vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99+2.10vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.31-2.01vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-1.67+1.63vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-1.69+0.79vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.81+0.07vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-2.65+0.88vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-1.34-3.12vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-2.27-2.04vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-1.93-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Clemson University2.140.4%1st Place
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3.26Jacksonville University1.300.2%1st Place
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4.2Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
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3.3North Carolina State University1.330.2%1st Place
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7.56University of Maryland-0.750.0%1st Place
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8.1Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
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4.99Christopher Newport University0.310.1%1st Place
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9.63SUNY Stony Brook-1.670.0%1st Place
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9.79North Carolina State University-1.690.0%1st Place
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10.07University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.810.0%1st Place
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11.88William and Mary-2.650.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
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10.96Penn State University-2.270.0%1st Place
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10.16Virginia Tech-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Danilek | 41.3% | 24.5% | 16.4% | 10.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaynah True | 17.1% | 21.9% | 19.4% | 18.1% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 10.0% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 13.5% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 15.9% | 20.9% | 20.6% | 19.6% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| David Sutton | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Harrison Kempton | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Danyte Reisinger | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 8.4% |
| Conor Murphy | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 7.0% |
| Drew Davey | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 10.7% |
| Christopher Egerstrom | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 17.7% | 38.9% |
| Mary James | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| Mitchell Reel | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 19.4% | 19.7% |
| Justin Harler | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.