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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University2.14+1.22vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.33+1.22vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.30+0.35vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.78+0.23vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.75+2.53vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.69+3.85vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.31-2.03vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99-0.06vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-1.93+1.34vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-1.67-0.23vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.81-1.00vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-1.34-3.13vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-2.27-2.02vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-2.65-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Clemson University2.140.4%1st Place
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3.22North Carolina State University1.330.2%1st Place
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3.35Jacksonville University1.300.2%1st Place
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4.23Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
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7.53University of Maryland-0.750.0%1st Place
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9.85North Carolina State University-1.690.0%1st Place
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4.97Christopher Newport University0.310.1%1st Place
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7.94Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
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10.34Virginia Tech-1.930.0%1st Place
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9.77SUNY Stony Brook-1.670.0%1st Place
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10.0University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.810.0%1st Place
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8.87University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
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10.98Penn State University-2.270.0%1st Place
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11.73William and Mary-2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Danilek | 40.8% | 24.7% | 17.5% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 17.9% | 20.7% | 20.9% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaynah True | 16.7% | 20.2% | 19.7% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 9.2% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 14.7% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Conor Murphy | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 9.1% |
| Harrison Kempton | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Sutton | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Justin Harler | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 11.9% |
| Danyte Reisinger | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 7.7% |
| Drew Davey | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 9.9% |
| Mary James | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Mitchell Reel | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 18.2% | 20.5% |
| Christopher Egerstrom | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 17.4% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.