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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.33+2.28vs Predicted
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2Clemson University2.14+0.11vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.30+0.35vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.75+3.52vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.31+0.23vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-1.34+2.95vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-1.69+2.51vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99-0.03vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-1.67+0.71vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-1.93+0.39vs Predicted
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11Penn State University-2.27+0.06vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-2.65-0.20vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.81-3.06vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.78-9.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28North Carolina State University1.330.2%1st Place
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2.11Clemson University2.140.4%1st Place
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3.35Jacksonville University1.300.2%1st Place
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7.52University of Maryland-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.23Christopher Newport University0.310.1%1st Place
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8.95University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
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9.51North Carolina State University-1.690.0%1st Place
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7.97Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
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9.71SUNY Stony Brook-1.670.0%1st Place
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10.39Virginia Tech-1.930.0%1st Place
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11.06Penn State University-2.270.0%1st Place
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11.8William and Mary-2.650.0%1st Place
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9.94University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.810.0%1st Place
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4.17Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hogan O'Donnell | 16.7% | 22.4% | 20.8% | 16.4% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| TJ Danilek | 41.1% | 28.2% | 16.9% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaynah True | 17.4% | 18.9% | 19.5% | 18.7% | 13.6% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 1.4% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Harrison Kempton | 5.6% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 18.8% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary James | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 3.1% |
| Conor Murphy | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 6.2% |
| David Sutton | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Danyte Reisinger | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 7.0% |
| Justin Harler | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 14.4% |
| Mitchell Reel | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 20.1% | 21.6% |
| Christopher Egerstrom | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 36.7% |
| Drew Davey | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 9.4% |
| Luke Hayes | 11.0% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 17.7% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.