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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.30+2.44vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.78+2.47vs Predicted
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3Clemson University2.14-0.73vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.33-0.52vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99+3.88vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-1.67+4.85vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-1.93+4.51vs Predicted
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8University of Pittsburgh-0.45-0.75vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.31-3.52vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.79+1.12vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-0.75-2.82vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-1.34-2.13vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-1.69-2.16vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-2.27-1.68vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.34-2.33vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-2.65-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44Jacksonville University1.300.2%1st Place
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4.47Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
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2.27Clemson University2.140.4%1st Place
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3.48North Carolina State University1.330.2%1st Place
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8.88Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
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10.85SUNY Stony Brook-1.670.0%1st Place
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11.51Virginia Tech-1.930.0%1st Place
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7.25University of Pittsburgh-0.450.0%1st Place
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5.48Christopher Newport University0.310.1%1st Place
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11.12University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.790.0%1st Place
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8.18University of Maryland-0.750.0%1st Place
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9.87University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
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10.84North Carolina State University-1.690.0%1st Place
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12.32Penn State University-2.270.0%1st Place
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12.67University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.340.0%1st Place
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13.36William and Mary-2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaynah True | 17.0% | 20.3% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 10.2% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| TJ Danilek | 37.8% | 26.7% | 17.5% | 10.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 17.2% | 17.6% | 18.9% | 18.5% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Sutton | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Danyte Reisinger | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.1% |
| Justin Harler | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 8.9% |
| Geoffrey Wells | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Kempton | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lars Sobieski | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Mary James | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Conor Murphy | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% |
| Mitchell Reel | 0.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 17.1% |
| Jacob Stasiewicz | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 18.5% | 20.2% |
| Christopher Egerstrom | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.