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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.30+2.48vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.44+1.29vs Predicted
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3Clemson University2.14-0.73vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.78+0.55vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.31+0.53vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99+2.94vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-0.45+0.47vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.75+0.12vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-1.67+1.70vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-1.93+1.54vs Predicted
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11Penn State University-2.27+1.30vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.34+0.58vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.79-1.87vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-2.65-0.78vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University-1.69-4.07vs Predicted
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16University of Georgia-1.34-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48Jacksonville University1.300.2%1st Place
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3.29North Carolina State University1.440.2%1st Place
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2.27Clemson University2.140.4%1st Place
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4.55Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
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5.53Christopher Newport University0.310.1%1st Place
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8.94Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
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7.47University of Pittsburgh-0.450.0%1st Place
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8.12University of Maryland-0.750.0%1st Place
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10.7SUNY Stony Brook-1.670.0%1st Place
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11.54Virginia Tech-1.930.0%1st Place
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12.3Penn State University-2.270.0%1st Place
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12.58University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.340.0%1st Place
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11.13University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.790.0%1st Place
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13.22William and Mary-2.650.0%1st Place
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10.93North Carolina State University-1.690.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaynah True | 17.4% | 17.1% | 21.2% | 16.5% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Tucker | 19.2% | 21.2% | 18.0% | 17.2% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| TJ Danilek | 37.5% | 27.2% | 17.4% | 10.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 8.8% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Kempton | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Sutton | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Geoffrey Wells | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Danyte Reisinger | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% |
| Justin Harler | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 8.6% |
| Mitchell Reel | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 18.2% | 17.2% |
| Jacob Stasiewicz | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 20.8% |
| Lars Sobieski | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 7.5% |
| Christopher Egerstrom | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 30.7% |
| Conor Murphy | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 5.4% |
| Mary James | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.