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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.44+2.22vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99+6.66vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.78+1.47vs Predicted
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4Clemson University2.14-1.71vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.30-1.47vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-0.45+1.35vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.31-1.48vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-1.93+3.15vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-0.75-0.91vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.79+1.01vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-1.67-0.42vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-2.51+0.78vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-2.65+0.04vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.34-1.69vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-2.27-2.72vs Predicted
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16University of Georgia-1.34-6.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22North Carolina State University1.440.2%1st Place
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8.66Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
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4.47Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
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2.29Clemson University2.140.4%1st Place
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3.53Jacksonville University1.300.2%1st Place
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7.35University of Pittsburgh-0.450.0%1st Place
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5.52Christopher Newport University0.310.1%1st Place
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11.15Virginia Tech-1.930.0%1st Place
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8.09University of Maryland-0.750.0%1st Place
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11.01University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.790.0%1st Place
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10.58SUNY Stony Brook-1.670.0%1st Place
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12.78North Carolina State University-2.510.0%1st Place
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13.04William and Mary-2.650.0%1st Place
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12.31University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.340.0%1st Place
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12.28Penn State University-2.270.0%1st Place
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9.7University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Tucker | 19.5% | 22.3% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Sutton | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Luke Hayes | 9.6% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| TJ Danilek | 36.5% | 27.4% | 18.2% | 10.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaynah True | 16.3% | 17.6% | 19.9% | 18.2% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Wells | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Kempton | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Harler | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 6.3% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Lars Sobieski | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
| Danyte Reisinger | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% |
| Baxter Barrett | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 23.0% |
| Christopher Egerstrom | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 26.1% |
| Jacob Stasiewicz | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 17.0% |
| Mitchell Reel | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 14.0% |
| Mary James | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.